Insight · Sep 22, 2025
The Commercial LEO Destination Race: Where Demand Actually Is
Several operators are racing to replace the ISS. The fundable demand is narrower and more specific than the announcements suggest.

Image: NASA
Beyond the renders
Station renders are easy; paying users are hard. The real demand concentrates around a few uses — research, manufacturing, and national programs — each with different requirements.
Designing for conflict
The operators who win will design for conflicting users in one volume. That constraint, caught early, is a durable advantage.